Sergii's Trading Journey
AUD Forex Trading Strategy: Volume Analysis & Market Outlook
Trader Snapshot
Trader Name | Sergii |
Experience | Trading since 2014 |
Trading Style | Volume-based + price action analysis |
Primary Market | Forex |
Main Focus Pair | AUD (Australian Dollar pairs) |
Other Instruments | Gold, commodities |
Core Strategy | Volume & volatility analysis |
Key Indicators Used | Overbought/Oversold indicators, Yandex Market tool |
Timeframe Approach | Multi-timeframe (weekly, daily, intraday) |
Market Focus | Identifying large player activity |
Risk Approach | Based on volatility and market behavior |
Trading Edge | Understanding institutional flow via volume |
Sergii's Trading Journey
Sergii’s a funded trader shares insights about their career, trading strategies, and market analysis, particularly focusing on the Australian Dollar (AUD) currency pair. Sergii began their trading career through self-education, utilizing literature, online videos, and observing other traders. Sergii’s has been involved in trading since around 2014, starting with Forex, commodities like gold, and other raw materials.
Key Highlights
Career and Background:
- Sergii’s is self-taught, having relied on diverse resources.
- Active in Forex trading since 2014, initially trading various currencies and commodities such as gold.
- Eventually specialized in the AUD currency pair due to its characteristics fitting their trading style.
Trading Instruments and Focus:
- Main focus: Australian Dollar (AUD) paired with other currencies.
- Also traded gold and other commodities before concentrating on specific currency pairs.
- Chose AUD because of its unique features and perceived advantages.
Strategy and Market Analysis:
- Strategy focused on market volumes and understanding volatility.
- Emphasizes the importance of identifying large market players’ entry and exit points.
- Uses volume data and volatility as primary indicators.
- Incorporates computer analysis, including indicators for overbought and oversold conditions.
- Utilizes a specific indicator named “Yandex Market” to cross-check and forecast market trends.
- Believes in combining logical market understanding with technical analysis for effective trading.
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Funded Trader ProgramMarket Outlook and Predictions:
- The AUD pair has shown minor growth recently (around 190-192).
- The trader forecasts a slight decline toward the 189-190 range by the end of the week.
- Expects the market to fluctuate within this range for about a month.
- Predicts potential sharp movements (spikes and pullbacks) due to large players adjusting positions.
- Anticipates a significant market drop by March to approximately 180-187, based on weekly chart analysis.
- Suggests a potential major trend reversal around this level, forecasting further decline toward 188-1872 (units Not specified).
Additional Comments:
- Sergii’s expresses satisfaction with current market conditions and intends to continue trading actively.
- Shows openness to sharing further market analysis and insights in future videos.
- Appreciates audience engagement and feedback.
Timeline of Key Events and Predictions
Timeframe | Event / Prediction |
Since 2014 | Began trading Forex and commodities, self-taught trader |
Past 4 years | Focused on AUD currency pair, developing and testing strategy |
Current week | Slight growth in AUD pair up to ~192 |
End of current week | Predicted decline to 189-190 |
Next month | Market expected to remain within 189-190 range |
March (future forecast) | Market to decline to 180-187, signaling a major trend reversal |
Get Started with the Free Funded Account Challenge
Start the Free ChallengeCore Concepts and Terms
Term/Concept | Explanation |
AUD Pair | Australian Dollar currency pair, main trading focus |
Volume Analysis | Evaluating trade volumes to identify market participant behavior |
Volatility | Market price fluctuations, used to assess risk and opportunity |
Overbought/Oversold Indicators | Tools to identify potential market reversal points based on price extremes |
Yandex Market Indicator | A specific tool used for market trend forecasting and validation (details Not specified) |
Large Market Players | Institutional investors or entities whose trades significantly impact market movements |
Key Insights
- Self-education and continuous learning are crucial in developing a successful trading strategy.
- Specialization in a specific currency pair (AUD) helped the trader refine and optimize their approach.
- Volume and volatility analysis provide critical insight into market dynamics and help anticipate movements.
- Large players’ actions significantly influence market trends; detecting their behavior is vital.
- Combining technical indicators with logical market understanding strengthens forecasting accuracy.
- Market predictions indicate short-term growth followed by a mid-term decline and potential trend reversal.
Conclusion
Sergii’s approach highlights the importance of in-depth market understanding, focusing on volumes and volatility, supported by technical indicators. Their detailed predictions for the AUD pair are based on extensive analysis and the behavior of large market participants, offering valuable insights for traders interested in this currency. The video suggests ongoing monitoring and adjustment of strategies in response to evolving market conditions, emphasizing adaptability in trading.
Choose The Best Plan
Designed to reduce stress by removing deadlines 👍 Unlimited trading period for Challenge, Verification and Live stages.
1st and 2nd Steps:
You only need to trade on 4 different days. A trading day is defined as a day when at least one position is opened.
Live account:
No minimum trading days
The Daily Drawdown resets every day at midnight (MT5 server time – GMT+2 / GMT+3 depending on Daylight Saving Time).
It is calculated as 7.5% (5% for Verification and live stage) of the account’s balance or equity at rollover, whichever is higher.
Your equity cannot fall by more than 7.5% (5% for the 2nd step and live stage) in a single trading day. Once the day resets, a new limit is set based on your updated balance or equity, following a static-based model.
Example:
Account balance at rollover: $120,000
Daily Drawdown (7.5%) → $9,000 → Equity must not fall below $111,000 that day.
If equity or the balance rises to $130,000 by the next rollover, the new daily drawdown will be $9,750 (7.5% of 130,000).
The Absolute Drawdown (Maximum Drawdown) is 15% (or 10% for the 2nd step and live stage) of the initial account balance and remains fixed throughout the challenge.
If either the daily or absolute drawdown is breached, the account will be terminated.
Example: Account balance: $120,000
Absolute Drawdown (15%) → $18,000 → The account will be closed if equity drops below $102,000.
The profit target is 10% on the Challenge stage and 5% on the Verification stage. Achieving these targets while following the rules will qualify you for a Live account
Profit sharing starts at 75%, you can reach up to 90% with consistent performances in line with our scaling plan.
Once on Live stage, traders can request withdrawals biweekly (every 14 days). After the request is approved, traders will receive the profit share in their wallet on the same day.
Once traders earn a payout, they'll be eligible for a Reward Bonus equal to the initial registration fee. This will be included with the first payout from the Ability Live.
Not anymore
You may hold trades over the weekend and trade during news events. Simply avoid opening, closing or adding to positions within 3 minutes before or after any high impact news release or speech, as that can be identified as excessive risk.
EAs are allowed if they follow our prohibited-strategy rules and are not sourced from third-party signals. Please see our prohibited trading practices here.
Copy trading is allowed between your own accounts within Audacity Capital. Copying from an external account is allowed only if the account belongs to you. Third-party copying is not permitted.
Select Program:
Select Account Size
phase 1
Max Drawdown
$750
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 15%
Daily loss: 7.5%
Profit Target
$500
Based on Balance
Target : 10%
phase 2
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
$250
Based on Balance
Target : 5%
live
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
More than 10%
Less than 10%
Challenge
Designed to reduce stress by removing deadlines 👍 Unlimited trading period for Challenge, Verification and Live stages.
1st and 2nd Steps:
You only need to trade on 4 different days. A trading day is defined as a day when at least one position is opened.
Live account:
No minimum trading days
The Daily Drawdown resets every day at midnight (MT5 server time – GMT+2 / GMT+3 depending on Daylight Saving Time).
It is calculated as 7.5% (5% for Verification and live stage) of the account’s balance or equity at rollover, whichever is higher.
Your equity cannot fall by more than 7.5% (5% for the 2nd step and live stage) in a single trading day. Once the day resets, a new limit is set based on your updated balance or equity, following a static-based model.
Example:
Account balance at rollover: $120,000
Daily Drawdown (7.5%) → $9,000 → Equity must not fall below $111,000 that day.
If equity or the balance rises to $130,000 by the next rollover, the new daily drawdown will be $9,750 (7.5% of 130,000).
The Absolute Drawdown (Maximum Drawdown) is 15% (or 10% for the 2nd step and live stage) of the initial account balance and remains fixed throughout the challenge.
If either the daily or absolute drawdown is breached, the account will be terminated.
Example: Account balance: $120,000
Absolute Drawdown (15%) → $18,000 → The account will be closed if equity drops below $102,000.
The profit target is 10% on the Challenge stage and 5% on the Verification stage. Achieving these targets while following the rules will qualify you for a Live account
Profit sharing starts at 75%, you can reach up to 90% with consistent performances in line with our scaling plan.
Once on Live stage, traders can request withdrawals biweekly (every 14 days). After the request is approved, traders will receive the profit share in their wallet on the same day.
Once traders earn a payout, they'll be eligible for a Reward Bonus equal to the initial registration fee. This will be included with the first payout from the Ability Live.
Not anymore
You may hold trades over the weekend and trade during news events. Simply avoid opening, closing or adding to positions within 3 minutes before or after any high impact news release or speech, as that can be identified as excessive risk.
EAs are allowed if they follow our prohibited-strategy rules and are not sourced from third-party signals. Please see our prohibited trading practices here.
Copy trading is allowed between your own accounts within Audacity Capital. Copying from an external account is allowed only if the account belongs to you. Third-party copying is not permitted.
Select Program:
Select Account Size
phase 1
Max Drawdown
$750
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 15%
Daily loss: 7.5%
Profit Target
$500
Based on Balance
Target : 10%
phase 2
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
$250
Based on Balance
Target : 5%
live
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
More than 10%
Less than 10%
Designed to reduce stress by removing deadlines 👍 Unlimited trading period for Challenge, Verification and Live stages.
1st and 2nd Steps:
You only need to trade on 4 different days. A trading day is defined as a day when at least one position is opened.
Live account:
No minimum trading days
The Daily Drawdown resets every day at midnight (MT5 server time – GMT+2 / GMT+3 depending on Daylight Saving Time).
It is calculated as 7.5% (5% for Verification and live stage) of the account’s balance or equity at rollover, whichever is higher.
Your equity cannot fall by more than 7.5% (5% for the 2nd step and live stage) in a single trading day. Once the day resets, a new limit is set based on your updated balance or equity, following a static-based model.
Example:
Account balance at rollover: $120,000
Daily Drawdown (7.5%) → $9,000 → Equity must not fall below $111,000 that day.
If equity or the balance rises to $130,000 by the next rollover, the new daily drawdown will be $9,750 (7.5% of 130,000).
The Absolute Drawdown (Maximum Drawdown) is 15% (or 10% for the 2nd step and live stage) of the initial account balance and remains fixed throughout the challenge.
If either the daily or absolute drawdown is breached, the account will be terminated.
Example: Account balance: $120,000
Absolute Drawdown (15%) → $18,000 → The account will be closed if equity drops below $102,000.
The profit target is 10% on the Challenge stage and 5% on the Verification stage. Achieving these targets while following the rules will qualify you for a Live account
Profit sharing starts at 75%, you can reach up to 90% with consistent performances in line with our scaling plan.
Once on Live stage, traders can request withdrawals biweekly (every 14 days). After the request is approved, traders will receive the profit share in their wallet on the same day.
Once traders earn a payout, they'll be eligible for a Reward Bonus equal to the initial registration fee. This will be included with the first payout from the Ability Live.
Not anymore
You may hold trades over the weekend and trade during news events. Simply avoid opening, closing or adding to positions within 3 minutes before or after any high impact news release or speech, as that can be identified as excessive risk.
EAs are allowed if they follow our prohibited-strategy rules and are not sourced from third-party signals. Please see our prohibited trading practices here.
Copy trading is allowed between your own accounts within Audacity Capital. Copying from an external account is allowed only if the account belongs to you. Third-party copying is not permitted.
Select Program:
Select Account Size
phase 1
Max Drawdown
$750
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 15%
Daily loss: 7.5%
Profit Target
$500
Based on Balance
Target : 10%
phase 2
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
$250
Based on Balance
Target : 5%
live
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
More than 10%
Less than 10%
Designed to reduce stress by removing deadlines 👍 Unlimited trading period for Challenge, Verification and Live stages.
1st and 2nd Steps:
You only need to trade on 4 different days. A trading day is defined as a day when at least one position is opened.
Live account:
No minimum trading days
The Daily Drawdown resets every day at midnight (MT5 server time – GMT+2 / GMT+3 depending on Daylight Saving Time).
It is calculated as 7.5% (5% for Verification and live stage) of the account’s balance or equity at rollover, whichever is higher.
Your equity cannot fall by more than 7.5% (5% for the 2nd step and live stage) in a single trading day. Once the day resets, a new limit is set based on your updated balance or equity, following a static-based model.
Example:
Account balance at rollover: $120,000
Daily Drawdown (7.5%) → $9,000 → Equity must not fall below $111,000 that day.
If equity or the balance rises to $130,000 by the next rollover, the new daily drawdown will be $9,750 (7.5% of 130,000).
The Absolute Drawdown (Maximum Drawdown) is 15% (or 10% for the 2nd step and live stage) of the initial account balance and remains fixed throughout the challenge.
If either the daily or absolute drawdown is breached, the account will be terminated.
Example: Account balance: $120,000
Absolute Drawdown (15%) → $18,000 → The account will be closed if equity drops below $102,000.
The profit target is 10% on the Challenge stage and 5% on the Verification stage. Achieving these targets while following the rules will qualify you for a Live account
Profit sharing starts at 75%, you can reach up to 90% with consistent performances in line with our scaling plan.
Once on Live stage, traders can request withdrawals biweekly (every 14 days). After the request is approved, traders will receive the profit share in their wallet on the same day.
Once traders earn a payout, they'll be eligible for a Reward Bonus equal to the initial registration fee. This will be included with the first payout from the Ability Live.
Not anymore
You may hold trades over the weekend and trade during news events. Simply avoid opening, closing or adding to positions within 3 minutes before or after any high impact news release or speech, as that can be identified as excessive risk.
EAs are allowed if they follow our prohibited-strategy rules and are not sourced from third-party signals. Please see our prohibited trading practices here.
Copy trading is allowed between your own accounts within Audacity Capital. Copying from an external account is allowed only if the account belongs to you. Third-party copying is not permitted.
Select Program:
Select Account Size
phase 1
Max Drawdown
$750
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 15%
Daily loss: 7.5%
Profit Target
$500
Based on Balance
Target : 10%
phase 2
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
$250
Based on Balance
Target : 5%
live
Max Drawdown
$500
Based on Initial Balance
Total Loss 10%
Daily loss: 5%
Profit Target
More than 10%
Less than 10%
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