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Sergii's Trading Journey

March 2, 2022

AUD Forex Trading Strategy: Volume Analysis & Market Outlook

Trader Snapshot

AttributeDetails

Trader Name

Sergii

Experience

Trading since 2014

Trading Style

Volume-based + price action analysis

Primary Market

Forex

Main Focus Pair

AUD (Australian Dollar pairs)

Other Instruments

Gold, commodities

Core Strategy

Volume & volatility analysis

Key Indicators Used

Overbought/Oversold indicators, Yandex Market tool

Timeframe Approach

Multi-timeframe (weekly, daily, intraday)

Market Focus

Identifying large player activity

Risk Approach

Based on volatility and market behavior

Trading Edge

Understanding institutional flow via volume

Sergii's Trading Journey

Sergii’s a funded trader shares insights about their career, trading strategies, and market analysis, particularly focusing on the Australian Dollar (AUD) currency pair. Sergii began their trading career through self-education, utilizing literature, online videos, and observing other traders. Sergii’s has been involved in trading since around 2014, starting with Forex, commodities like gold, and other raw materials.

Key Highlights

Career and Background:

  • Sergii’s is self-taught, having relied on diverse resources.
  • Active in Forex trading since 2014, initially trading various currencies and commodities such as gold.
  • Eventually specialized in the AUD currency pair due to its characteristics fitting their trading style.

Trading Instruments and Focus:

  • Main focus: Australian Dollar (AUD) paired with other currencies.
  • Also traded gold and other commodities before concentrating on specific currency pairs.
  • Chose AUD because of its unique features and perceived advantages.

Strategy and Market Analysis:

  • Strategy focused on market volumes and understanding volatility.
  • Emphasizes the importance of identifying large market players’ entry and exit points.
  • Uses volume data and volatility as primary indicators.
  • Incorporates computer analysis, including indicators for overbought and oversold conditions.
  • Utilizes a specific indicator named “Yandex Market” to cross-check and forecast market trends.
  • Believes in combining logical market understanding with technical analysis for effective trading.
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Market Outlook and Predictions:

  • The AUD pair has shown minor growth recently (around 190-192).
  • The trader forecasts a slight decline toward the 189-190 range by the end of the week.
  • Expects the market to fluctuate within this range for about a month.
  • Predicts potential sharp movements (spikes and pullbacks) due to large players adjusting positions.
  • Anticipates a significant market drop by March to approximately 180-187, based on weekly chart analysis.
  • Suggests a potential major trend reversal around this level, forecasting further decline toward 188-1872 (units Not specified).

Additional Comments:

  • Sergii’s expresses satisfaction with current market conditions and intends to continue trading actively.
  • Shows openness to sharing further market analysis and insights in future videos.
  • Appreciates audience engagement and feedback.

Timeline of Key Events and Predictions

Timeframe

Event / Prediction

Since 2014

Began trading Forex and commodities, self-taught trader

Past 4 years

Focused on AUD currency pair, developing and testing strategy

Current week

Slight growth in AUD pair up to ~192

End of current week

Predicted decline to 189-190

Next month

Market expected to remain within 189-190 range

March (future forecast)

Market to decline to 180-187, signaling a major trend reversal

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Core Concepts and Terms

Term/Concept

Explanation

AUD Pair

Australian Dollar currency pair, main trading focus

Volume Analysis

Evaluating trade volumes to identify market participant behavior

Volatility

Market price fluctuations, used to assess risk and opportunity

Overbought/Oversold Indicators

Tools to identify potential market reversal points based on price extremes

Yandex Market Indicator

A specific tool used for market trend forecasting and validation (details Not specified)

Large Market Players

Institutional investors or entities whose trades significantly impact market movements

Key Insights

  • Self-education and continuous learning are crucial in developing a successful trading strategy.
  • Specialization in a specific currency pair (AUD) helped the trader refine and optimize their approach.
  • Volume and volatility analysis provide critical insight into market dynamics and help anticipate movements.
  • Large players’ actions significantly influence market trends; detecting their behavior is vital.
  • Combining technical indicators with logical market understanding strengthens forecasting accuracy.
  • Market predictions indicate short-term growth followed by a mid-term decline and potential trend reversal.

Conclusion

Sergii’s approach highlights the importance of in-depth market understanding, focusing on volumes and volatility, supported by technical indicators. Their detailed predictions for the AUD pair are based on extensive analysis and the behavior of large market participants, offering valuable insights for traders interested in this currency. The video suggests ongoing monitoring and adjustment of strategies in response to evolving market conditions, emphasizing adaptability in trading.

Certification

Sergii Cert1
14 YEARS OF TRADING LEGACY

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Challenge

Trading Period
Unlimited
Min Trading Days
4 Days
🔥 Highest In The Market
Max Daily Loss
7.5%
🔥 Highest In The Market
Maximum Loss
15%
Profit Target
10%
Profit Share
-
Withdrawal / Payout
-
Refundable Fee
-
🔥 Upgraded
Consistency Rule
Not anymore
🔥 Upgraded
News Trading / Weekend Holding
Allowed
🔥 Upgraded
EAs Allowed / Copy Trading
Allowed
Scaling Plans
Trading Period
Unlimited
Min Trading Days
4 Days
🔥 Highest In The Market
Max Daily Loss
5%
🔥 Highest In The Market
Maximum Loss
10%
Profit Target
5%
Profit Share
-
Withdrawal / Payout
-
Refundable Fee
-
🔥 Upgraded
Consistency Rule
Not anymore
🔥 Upgraded
News Trading / Weekend Holding
Allowed
🔥 Upgraded
EAs Allowed / Copy Trading
Allowed
Scaling Plans
Trading Period
Unlimited
Min Trading Days
No minimum
🔥 Highest In The Market
Max Daily Loss
5%
🔥 Highest In The Market
Maximum Loss
10%
Profit Target
-
Profit Share
Up to 90%
Withdrawal / Payout
Same day
Refundable Fee
Refund
🔥 Upgraded
Consistency Rule
Not anymore
🔥 Upgraded
News Trading / Weekend Holding
Allowed
🔥 Upgraded
EAs Allowed / Copy Trading
Allowed
Scaling Plans

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